/Oakley Golf Shirts Uk

Oakley Golf Shirts Uk

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In the current power system planning literature, making decisions which account for such uncertainties is usually done by considering a small set of plausible scenarios, and the resulting limited coverage of parameter space limits confidence that the resulting decision will be a good one with respect to the real world. This thesis will consider a Bayesian approach to transmission expansion planning under uncertainty, which uses statistical emulators to approximate how input affects output of expensive simulators using a small number of training runs (evaluations from the simulator), as well as quantifying uncertainty in the simulator output for all points at which it has not been evaluated. In addition, expert judgement is used to formulate probability density functions to describe the uncertainties which exist in the power system, which can then be used alongside the emulator to estimate expected costs under uncertainty whilst also giving credible intervals for the resulting estimate.

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